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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.73vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+6.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+3.89vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11-0.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-2.00vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.52+1.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-4.68vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.40vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43-3.86vs Predicted
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14Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-4.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.12vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.65Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.98University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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6.32Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.4Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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9.14Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.84Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 16.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 25.4% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 18.4% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.