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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+3.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.87+6.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.39-0.18vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+1.28vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-3.69vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-4.41vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.27+3.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-0.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-4.13vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.94-6.51vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-8.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.27-5.87vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Harvard University3.1818.9%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.6%1st Place
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6.95Yale University2.298.2%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.6%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.871.9%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.397.3%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.034.0%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University2.6812.3%1st Place
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14.54Connecticut College0.271.2%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.72Boston University1.071.2%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.614.4%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University1.272.2%1st Place
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15.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Derry | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 27.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.