Race 4A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kevin Martland 16.2% 15.2% 13.8% 12.1% 10.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.5% 3.7% 1.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon 15.7% 14.4% 12.2% 12.1% 9.0% 7.3% 10.0% 4.9% 5.2% 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Bradley Milliken 6.4% 5.1% 5.7% 7.3% 7.2% 8.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 9.9% 7.6% 6.3% 5.6% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Chanel Miller 5.8% 8.5% 7.1% 8.1% 8.7% 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 5.7% 4.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Steven Pelissier 4.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.2% 6.9% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9% 4.8% 1.8%
Bo McClatchy 7.2% 7.7% 9.4% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.3% 7.4% 7.8% 6.4% 5.9% 4.9% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Michael Saldi 6.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.3% 4.7% 3.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Tommy Holmberg 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 4.4% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 7.5% 6.6% 6.8% 9.4% 9.0% 8.1% 8.9% 5.8% 1.9%
Kyle Carney 11.0% 10.3% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 9.8% 7.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Kaylee Schwitzer 4.9% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 6.1% 6.7% 8.8% 7.1% 9.0% 8.7% 9.2% 8.3% 5.8% 4.3% 1.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 10.6% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.4% 8.6% 6.1% 6.2% 3.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Will Humphrey 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.7% 11.7% 16.4% 21.5%
Andrew Morgan 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 5.9% 8.0% 10.7% 12.1% 15.1% 18.2%
Norbert Mongeon 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 5.0% 5.4% 4.2% 6.0% 8.2% 11.3% 12.2% 14.2% 17.5%
Andrew McHenry 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 4.2% 3.0% 5.0% 7.9% 7.8% 13.0% 18.4% 25.8%
Michael Rottier 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 5.2% 3.9% 3.8% 5.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 12.6% 10.8% 11.1% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.