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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+5.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+8.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+5.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.85vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.62vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.94+0.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07+2.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.29-4.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.27-2.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-2.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.77vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.27-2.38vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.68-12.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Dartmouth College2.398.8%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.034.3%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.2%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island1.614.5%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.9113.8%1st Place
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4.15Harvard University3.1818.4%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University1.944.9%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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12.63Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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7.12Yale University2.297.7%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.272.2%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.6%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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15.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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14.62Connecticut College0.270.9%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University2.6811.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Miles Williams | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 38.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 28.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.