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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+7.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+4.96vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+3.70vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+0.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73-1.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.86vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+3.89vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.38+3.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-2.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-4.72vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43-2.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-7.01vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-5.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.22vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.52-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.77Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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4.82Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.89Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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12.38Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.07Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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5.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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12.17University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.4% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.