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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+5.59vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+5.72vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+2.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73-0.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+0.33vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.43+2.16vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-2.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58-1.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.00vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.52-0.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.28vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-3.22vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.94-8.59vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.64Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.04Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.16Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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12.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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12.39Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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12.08University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.78Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 17.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 14.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 25.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 22.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.