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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.17vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+5.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.29+2.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.39+0.89vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.91vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20+0.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-0.49vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-6.06vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.27-5.78vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Brown University2.9113.2%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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4.17Harvard University3.1818.9%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.298.0%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.398.9%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.6810.2%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.091.9%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.032.9%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.4%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College1.203.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University1.944.7%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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12.5Boston University1.072.2%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island1.613.6%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University1.272.4%1st Place
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15.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.