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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+5.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+2.79vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+1.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.81vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94+0.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-1.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.55-1.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-5.03vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43-2.88vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-1.19vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.19vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.52-3.81vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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4.64Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.09Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.12Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.81Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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12.49Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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12.19University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 24.9% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| Will Humphrey | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.