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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+8.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+8.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.73vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29+1.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.52vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+1.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-4.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.39-3.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07+1.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.91-6.48vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.27+1.80vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.13vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-5.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.23vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Roger Williams University2.6810.9%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.273.1%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University1.945.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.8%1st Place
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7.03Yale University2.297.2%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.034.6%1st Place
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4.03Harvard University3.1819.6%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.397.9%1st Place
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12.51Boston University1.072.2%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.9111.2%1st Place
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14.8Connecticut College0.270.9%1st Place
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15.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island1.613.9%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.8%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.8%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.6% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 28.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 37.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.