← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+10.75vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.29+5.15vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.91+2.43vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.87vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.18-1.09vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.03+3.30vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.39-0.44vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.56-0.55vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.94-1.46vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.07+0.31vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.68-6.13vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.07-0.44vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.27+0.65vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.87-2.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.61-6.23vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.27-6.03vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.091.7%1st Place
-
7.15Yale University2.297.7%1st Place
-
5.43Brown University2.9113.5%1st Place
-
8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
-
3.91Harvard University3.1819.9%1st Place
-
9.3Bowdoin College2.034.3%1st Place
-
6.56Dartmouth College2.399.1%1st Place
-
7.45Boston College2.566.6%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.8%1st Place
-
8.54Roger Williams University1.944.9%1st Place
-
11.31Northeastern University1.072.7%1st Place
-
5.87Roger Williams University2.6810.3%1st Place
-
12.56Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
-
14.65Connecticut College0.270.8%1st Place
-
12.02University of Vermont0.872.3%1st Place
-
9.77University of Rhode Island1.612.8%1st Place
-
10.97Tufts University1.272.5%1st Place
-
15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.9% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 28.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.