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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+6.90vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+2.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+1.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.16vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+1.89vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11+0.24vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.43+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.96+1.98vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.52+2.24vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+0.14vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.32vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-4.75vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-8.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-9.51vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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4.15Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.46Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.24University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.14Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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11.68Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.96Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 19.1% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 26.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.