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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.42vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+2.20vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.38+8.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+3.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-0.48vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-0.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58-0.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-3.24vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.11-3.83vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43-2.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.75vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.52-3.75vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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4.2Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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11.54Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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5.52Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.6Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.29Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.25University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.5% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 18.3% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 24.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 18.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.