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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+5.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.97vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.27+8.70vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.80vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+0.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.29-3.07vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87+1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.62vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-4.36vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.39-7.46vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.79vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-5.60vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.27-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University2.9113.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.5%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.566.6%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island1.613.2%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.1%1st Place
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14.7Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University2.6810.6%1st Place
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4.2Harvard University3.1819.4%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.034.5%1st Place
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6.93Yale University2.297.4%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont0.872.3%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.0%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.945.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.399.2%1st Place
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12.55Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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15.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.272.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 28.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 38.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.