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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+1.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+4.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.39-2.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+1.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.27vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.25vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.27+0.51vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-5.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.27-4.90vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-7.16vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Harvard University3.1818.8%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.5%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University2.6812.7%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University1.945.6%1st Place
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5.2Brown University2.9112.5%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.566.9%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.297.8%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.397.3%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.3%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.1%1st Place
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12.75Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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14.51Connecticut College0.271.3%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.272.8%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 18.8% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 27.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.