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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+6.92vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+5.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+2.43vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+0.32vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.11+1.38vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26-0.24vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.43+1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-3.48vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.96-0.07vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.71vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-0.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.52-2.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.94-8.23vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.43Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.32Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.44Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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9.93University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.71Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.07Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.41University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 16.2% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 25.5% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 19.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.