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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.74+3.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.30+3.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45-0.08vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.18+1.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.59-0.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84-0.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.82-2.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Brown University1.7413.6%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston1.308.8%1st Place
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2.92Harvard University2.4528.6%1st Place
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5.43Bowdoin College1.188.8%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.5912.3%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University1.847.8%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.258.5%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont0.564.7%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island0.825.5%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Cam Spriggs | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Charlie Allen | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
Robby Meek | 28.6% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Ethan Danielson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
Gus Macaulay | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
Drew Mastovsky | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
Max Katz-Christy | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
Gavin Sanborn | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 12.4% |
Owen Grainger | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 8.9% |
Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.