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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+4.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.51vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.84vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.87vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-0.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-2.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.19vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.61vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.27-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.99vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Brown University2.9113.6%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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7.17Yale University2.297.0%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.398.6%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.3%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.6811.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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4.13Harvard University3.1818.8%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University1.945.5%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.567.1%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.272.2%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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12.74Boston University1.072.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.5%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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14.71Connecticut College0.270.9%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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15.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 28.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.