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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+6.96vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+6.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+3.16vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.48vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78-0.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73-1.57vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.96+1.99vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.38+2.68vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-3.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.52-0.48vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-1.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.86vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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8.32Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.41Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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4.43Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.68Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.52University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.25Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.0%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 16.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 25.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.