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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+3.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+2.67vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.39-1.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.53vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-2.62vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.29-5.92vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.59vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-0.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-3.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.46vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Roger Williams University2.6812.8%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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4.2Harvard University3.1818.7%1st Place
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5.27Brown University2.9112.5%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University1.944.8%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University1.273.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island1.614.3%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.398.2%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.0%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.297.7%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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14.69Connecticut College0.270.8%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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12.54Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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15.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.7% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Miles Williams | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Derry | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 29.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.