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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+6.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+0.85vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+3.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65-1.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10+5.53vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.51-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.93-1.75vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-6.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.32vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.69-3.43vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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3.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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3.85Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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7.64Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.53University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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10.98Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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12.57Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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15.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 22.4% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 18.6% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 37.5% | 14.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Edward Moan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 1.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 2.7% |
| Ben King | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 24.8% | 21.2% | 5.8% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 12.6% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.