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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+7.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+3.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+1.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.59vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.11vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-3.11vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-5.33vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.04-7.65vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-1.04vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-4.60vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-1.68vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.98-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Dartmouth College1.605.8%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University2.7116.8%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College1.717.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.098.9%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.998.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.153.5%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.0410.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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15.32Bates College-0.670.9%1st Place
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17.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 23.2% | 5.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 39.1% | 18.4% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 13.4% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.