← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.88+1.90vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.65+1.46vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.51+3.67vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.18+0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.23+2.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.51+0.65vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.54-0.65vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.69+2.36vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.84-4.33vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.55-4.62vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut1.93-3.71vs Predicted
-
14Bates College1.32-3.06vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.25vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.10-2.33vs Predicted
-
17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
-
3.9Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
-
4.46Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.67Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
-
5.63Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.65University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.35Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.36Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
-
6.67Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.38Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.94Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
-
11.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.67University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
-
15.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 22.5% | 21.2% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.9% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben King | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 5.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 2.8% |
| Whit Durant | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 39.3% | 15.2% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 13.1% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.