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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.41vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.85vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+1.89vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-0.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+4.89vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.67+5.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-4.55vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-6.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-2.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.13vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.99-9.02vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-7.38vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.98-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Yale University2.7119.6%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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8.26Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College1.715.3%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.098.2%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.605.4%1st Place
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13.89University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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15.35Bates College-0.670.7%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.049.9%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.143.3%1st Place
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6.98Brown University1.997.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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17.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 22.6% | 6.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 15.7% | 39.4% | 16.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.