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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.52vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+3.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15+5.73vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+3.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71+0.77vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-5.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-0.18vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.04-8.68vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-0.55vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-5.60vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.98-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Yale University2.7117.0%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University1.907.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.098.2%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.154.0%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College1.716.8%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College1.606.2%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.5%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.998.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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13.82University of Vermont-0.131.0%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.049.3%1st Place
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15.45Bates College-0.670.4%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University0.692.1%1st Place
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17.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 5.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 39.2% | 18.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 12.9% | 73.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.