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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+8.13vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+5.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+0.49vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+2.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+1.48vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-4.19vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.51-2.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.55-3.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.23vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-1.46vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.69-3.44vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.49Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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3.81Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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10.96Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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13.54University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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12.56Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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15.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.4% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.6% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 2.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Whit Durant | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 35.5% | 13.9% |
| Ben King | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 24.4% | 21.7% | 6.0% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 13.4% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.