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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.95vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+5.97vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+6.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+1.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+0.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+1.48vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-0.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.69+2.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.99-3.06vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-4.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-5.12vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-0.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-3.19vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.98-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Yale University2.7116.4%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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6.6Boston College2.099.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.049.7%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College1.716.4%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University0.692.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.998.2%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University1.153.3%1st Place
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15.27Bates College-0.670.7%1st Place
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13.81University of Vermont-0.131.0%1st Place
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17.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 40.5% | 16.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.