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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+3.59vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+4.46vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+5.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.51+1.68vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-3.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-3.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-0.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-2.48vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.72vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.69-0.60vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32-3.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-8.42vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.10-2.36vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.46Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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3.97Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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12.4Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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10.93Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.64University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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15.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 22.3% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 18.9% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 2.8% |
| Ben King | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 6.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 1.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Whit Durant | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 39.4% | 14.4% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.