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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+5.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+2.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+0.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+3.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-2.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-0.19vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.16vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-4.66vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-1.59vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.98-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Yale University2.7117.2%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.605.6%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University1.998.3%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College1.716.2%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.099.0%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University1.226.6%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
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6.27Brown University2.049.8%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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9.99University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University1.154.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.143.3%1st Place
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11.34Tufts University0.692.6%1st Place
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15.41Bates College-0.670.5%1st Place
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17.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy-1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 5.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 39.4% | 17.6% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 13.2% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.