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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+6.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+7.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+4.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-0.98vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-2.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-3.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.83vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.76-1.92vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.71-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-2.70vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-0.90vs Predicted
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17Bates College-2.43+0.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University-1.31-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.4%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.5518.5%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.1010.2%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.4012.7%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.3%1st Place
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7.02Brown University1.697.2%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.108.5%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College1.878.2%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College0.761.9%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University0.713.3%1st Place
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12.3University of Rhode Island0.121.1%1st Place
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15.1Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.4%1st Place
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17.22Bates College-2.430.1%1st Place
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15.69Boston University-1.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 23.3% | 30.3% | 12.2% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 66.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 21.7% | 36.0% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.