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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.39vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+5.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+2.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-4.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-3.41vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.32+0.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.55-4.56vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.69-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.10-0.40vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-5.81vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-4.13vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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3.93Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.54Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.06Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.39Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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15.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 23.3% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 16.7% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben King | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 6.2% |
| Whit Durant | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 35.4% | 15.2% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 1.8% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 13.5% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.