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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+4.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+0.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.76+0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+0.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.83vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-5.94vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.71-3.41vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+0.16vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.12-3.65vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-1.27vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.43-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Boston College2.4014.1%1st Place
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4.4Yale University2.5517.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.1010.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College1.878.4%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.108.4%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University1.183.7%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.0%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College0.762.6%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University0.933.8%1st Place
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7.06Brown University1.697.0%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University0.712.8%1st Place
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15.16Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.4%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island0.121.2%1st Place
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15.73Boston University-1.310.1%1st Place
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17.19Bates College-2.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.1% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 24.3% | 30.6% | 12.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 20.5% | 35.4% | 18.0% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 17.2% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.