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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+3.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+4.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55+2.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+2.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+0.59vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.32+3.03vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-5.10vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-3.29vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.51-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.93-2.63vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.14-1.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-1.22vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.46Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.59Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.03Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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3.9Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.49Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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13.78University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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15.46Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 14.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.6% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 1.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.5% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Evan Olson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 1.9% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 2.9% |
| Whit Durant | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 41.6% | 16.2% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 12.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.