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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.38vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.76+7.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+2.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+1.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.71+1.60vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-0.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.48vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-2.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-0.38vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.78vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.43-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Dartmouth College2.108.8%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College0.762.2%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.4012.3%1st Place
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7.23Brown University1.696.4%1st Place
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7.79Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.1011.6%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University0.712.5%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.4%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.5%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
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15.62Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
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15.22Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.6%1st Place
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17.19Bates College-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 33.9% | 18.8% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 23.5% | 31.3% | 12.2% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.