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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+5.83vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.07+1.78vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.55+1.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.20+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20+0.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.85-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.87-1.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76-3.53vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Bowdoin College0.054.0%1st Place
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3.78College of Charleston2.0719.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University1.5512.2%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University1.208.4%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island1.208.4%1st Place
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4.08Harvard University1.8514.2%1st Place
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5.59University of Vermont0.878.6%1st Place
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4.47Brown University1.7614.7%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.152.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Stevens | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.1% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Connor McHugh | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
Courtland Doyle | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
Max Sigel | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
Harrison Strom | 14.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Christian Cushman | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
James Brock | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
Emma Wang | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
Langdon Wallace | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.