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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+6.37vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+5.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+1.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88-0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51+0.71vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10+5.62vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.32+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-2.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-5.41vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-3.61vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.14-2.47vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31+0.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-4.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.94Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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13.62University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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11.04Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.53Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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15.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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7.61Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 18.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 23.7% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 40.0% | 15.4% |
| Edward Moan | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Brad Carvalho | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Evan Olson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 12.3% | 76.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 3.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.