← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.40+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.38vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.69+4.05vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.87+2.45vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.33+2.88vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.10-0.16vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+2.30vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.32vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.93+0.11vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18-0.83vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.10-4.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.48-0.70vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College0.76-2.09vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.12-1.56vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.71-4.28vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-0.82vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-1.31-1.38vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-2.43-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Boston College2.4011.6%1st Place
-
4.38Yale University2.5516.8%1st Place
-
7.05Brown University1.697.2%1st Place
-
6.45Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
-
7.88Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
-
5.84Harvard University2.1010.1%1st Place
-
9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.9%1st Place
-
6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
-
9.17Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
-
6.43Dartmouth College2.1010.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College0.763.0%1st Place
-
12.44University of Rhode Island0.121.3%1st Place
-
10.72Tufts University0.712.2%1st Place
-
15.18Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.4%1st Place
-
15.62Boston University-1.310.2%1st Place
-
17.04Bates College-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 24.0% | 31.6% | 12.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 35.6% | 19.4% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.