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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+1.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+1.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71+2.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.03vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.76-1.14vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-3.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-0.95vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-1.47vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.43-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Dartmouth College2.108.5%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.109.1%1st Place
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4.21Yale University2.5519.0%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.4012.3%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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7.66Brown University1.336.4%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University0.712.5%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.698.6%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.9%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College0.761.9%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.251.8%1st Place
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15.05Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
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15.53Boston University-1.310.2%1st Place
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17.09Bates College-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Allison Nystrom | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 28.1% | 11.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 34.7% | 18.7% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.