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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+8.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.47vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10+8.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.59+1.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-3.00vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54-0.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51-1.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.51-4.35vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.32-1.98vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-6.48vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.69-2.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-4.06vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.31-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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13.69University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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4.0Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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7.5Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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11.02Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.46Maine Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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11.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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15.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.4% | 20.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 38.0% | 15.4% |
| Andrew Moakes | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Moan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 1.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben King | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 4.6% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 2.3% |
| Peter Chambers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.