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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.46+6.15vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+1.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.66+4.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.14vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.51-1.00vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15+2.11vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-1.25vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.46-3.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-2.25vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.75-0.71vs Predicted
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15American University0.83-3.01vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.19-2.37vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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3.64Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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4.36Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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9.76University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.0Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.11Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.22Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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12.29George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.99American University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.63Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bedinger | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 22.9% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 15.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ben Buhl | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| William Broman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Peter Hays | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 32.6% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.