← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia3.54+3.14vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.82+1.67vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.51+4.14vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.46+3.45vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.61vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.01+2.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.66+2.68vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University0.75+4.15vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.51-4.64vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-5.15vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.15+0.12vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-2.30vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University2.46-6.81vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.19-1.50vs Predicted
-
16American University0.83-3.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
-
3.67Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
-
7.14Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.45Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
-
6.61U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.74Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.15George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.36Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
-
4.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
11.12Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.19Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
-
13.5Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
-
12.17American University0.830.0%1st Place
-
13.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 17.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 21.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| William Broman | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 13.2% |
| Alex Post | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 31.4% |
| Peter Hays | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.