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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+2.55vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.46+5.21vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+4.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+4.78vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.54-1.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.31vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.15+3.14vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.66+0.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-0.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.75+1.19vs Predicted
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12American University0.83+0.07vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.19-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.63vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-11.58vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-12.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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7.21Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.11Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.29Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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11.14Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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12.19George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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12.07American University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.58Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 23.1% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Edward Titcomb | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 13.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| William Broman | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| Peter Hays | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 32.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.4% | 29.7% |
| Alex Post | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.