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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.46+6.11vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.54+1.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+5.84vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+2.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.51-1.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.75+3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.66-0.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.51-6.62vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-3.37vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.19-0.45vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.15-3.87vs Predicted
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16American University0.83-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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3.64Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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7.31Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.16George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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4.38Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.55Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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11.13Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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12.17American University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bedinger | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 20.5% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Spracher | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Broman | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Domenic Re | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Alex Post | 18.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 32.9% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Peter Hays | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.