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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+2.52vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.63vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51+1.21vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46+0.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.66+0.63vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.46-2.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-2.39vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.15-0.79vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.19+0.55vs Predicted
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15American University0.83-3.00vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.75-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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4.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.26Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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7.3Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.61Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.21Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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13.55Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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12.0American University0.830.0%1st Place
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12.39George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 22.3% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Post | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Domenic Re | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 32.6% |
| Peter Hays | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 11.8% |
| William Broman | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.