← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+2.55vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+4.59vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.51+4.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia3.54+0.36vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.51-0.64vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+3.80vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.13vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.01+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Washington College2.46-1.80vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University2.46-2.69vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University0.75+1.20vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia1.66-2.27vs Predicted
-
14American University0.83-1.93vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.19-1.51vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.15-4.69vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
-
6.59U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.09Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.36University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
4.36Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
-
4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
8.59Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.2Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.31Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
-
12.2George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.07American University0.830.0%1st Place
-
13.49Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.31Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 22.3% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Broman | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| Domenic Re | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Peter Hays | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 31.7% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.