Race 2B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonnie Ciffolillo 20.0% 18.1% 15.3% 12.2% 11.8% 8.2% 7.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Harrison Strom 16.5% 15.2% 14.8% 13.9% 11.2% 10.0% 7.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Connor McHugh 10.2% 11.8% 12.7% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 10.2% 9.8% 6.2% 3.2%
Benjamin Stevens 3.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.1% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 13.1% 20.2% 18.3%
Courtland Doyle 9.1% 8.7% 8.8% 10.8% 10.4% 9.7% 12.8% 13.2% 11.7% 5.0%
Max Sigel 8.6% 7.9% 8.7% 10.3% 10.0% 12.2% 12.5% 12.8% 11.9% 5.1%
James Brock 14.9% 13.2% 13.6% 13.4% 11.5% 9.9% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 1.7%
Emma Wang 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.0% 11.8% 10.9% 13.6% 13.0% 8.5%
Christian Cushman 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.2% 11.9% 11.2% 12.7% 11.8% 11.2% 6.2%
Langdon Wallace 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.9% 15.6% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.