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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+2.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+4.60vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.46+4.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+5.84vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+3.65vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-2.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.32vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.46-1.79vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.51-2.84vs Predicted
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11American University0.83+1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.66-2.29vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.75-1.75vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.19-1.54vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.15-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.26Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.21Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.16Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.0American University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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12.25George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.46Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Edward Titcomb | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Spracher | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hays | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 11.9% |
| Domenic Re | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| William Broman | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 31.3% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.