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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.46+6.23vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+2.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82-0.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+2.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.66+2.87vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+0.78vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-5.52vs Predicted
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11American University0.83+1.14vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-4.21vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.19-0.42vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-5.14vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.75-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.74Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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7.41Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.33Old Dominion University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.14American University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.79Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.58Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.86Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.48George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 21.3% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Spracher | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Alex Post | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 13.2% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 33.5% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| William Broman | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 14.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.