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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+2.40vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+4.19vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.46+3.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.66+1.86vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.46-1.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.82-6.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.24vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-3.31vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.75-0.66vs Predicted
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14American University0.83-1.85vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-5.15vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.19-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.4Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.5Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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4.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Virginia1.660.0%1st Place
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7.2Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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8.69Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.34George Washington University0.750.0%1st Place
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12.15American University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.85Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.7Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 21.6% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| William Broman | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| Peter Hays | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 11.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 33.8% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.