Race 12A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Gordon Wolcott 16.6% 15.9% 13.7% 12.3% 12.4% 9.7% 6.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 5.1% 7.2% 6.4% 8.1% 7.3% 8.8% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 8.9% 7.7% 5.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Samuel Bedinger 6.0% 4.5% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.5% 11.6% 9.5% 8.2% 5.3% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Nicholas Clemence 11.6% 12.1% 12.5% 12.0% 11.4% 11.9% 9.0% 8.0% 4.5% 4.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 4.6% 5.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 10.2% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 7.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Francois Conde-Jahn 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 3.6% 4.6% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 8.9% 9.6% 12.3% 9.5% 9.1% 6.9% 2.6%
Esteban Forrer 20.8% 18.3% 13.7% 12.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.2% 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Domenic Re 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.1% 4.6% 4.0% 6.4% 7.2% 7.4% 9.2% 11.5% 12.3% 10.5% 8.5% 5.0% 1.4%
Alex Post 16.7% 15.1% 13.1% 11.4% 11.1% 10.3% 7.5% 5.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 8.5% 9.3% 11.0% 12.7% 12.7% 9.2% 6.1% 1.7%
Edward Titcomb 3.4% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.2% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 9.1% 3.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Peter Hays 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 13.2% 16.6% 16.5% 13.0%
Connor Timmins 5.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.7% 8.6% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 9.2% 6.1% 7.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
William Broman 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 6.9% 7.8% 13.0% 17.3% 16.4% 14.3%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 8.7% 13.2% 21.6% 34.8%
Adam Rybczynski 0.1% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 5.5% 8.4% 15.3% 21.7% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.