← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.39+3.14vs Predicted
-
2Washington College2.65+4.15vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.47+3.80vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia3.01+1.33vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.42+1.94vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.91-0.44vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.47-2.85vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.55+1.35vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+0.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia1.99-1.73vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.24-0.81vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.57-3.60vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-7.37vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University-0.35-1.81vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.42-1.00vs Predicted
-
17American University-3.36-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14U. S. Naval Academy3.390.2%1st Place
-
6.15Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.8Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.94Old Dominion University2.420.1%1st Place
-
5.56Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
-
4.15Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
-
9.35Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.27University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
10.19George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.4Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
13.19Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.420.0%1st Place
-
15.65American University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hendi | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Miedama | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patterson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 10.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 5.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.9% | 59.4% | 10.8% | 0.9% |
| Douglas Hamilton | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 6.3% | 61.3% | 28.3% |
| Alexis Petter | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 26.1% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.