Race 6A

yale-fj-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mateo Farina 9.6% 10.1% 10.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.7% 7.3% 7.5% 6.4% 6.2% 5.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Cam Spriggs 8.7% 8.7% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 5.5% 5.7% 4.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Bradley Whiteway 7.5% 7.2% 6.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.3% 3.5% 2.5%
Gus Macaulay 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 6.6% 7.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.0% 4.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Nathan Sih 11.1% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 8.3% 7.2% 8.8% 7.4% 7.0% 5.9% 4.5% 4.0% 3.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Shea Smith 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 6.5% 7.6% 6.5% 7.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8%
Ximena Escobar 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.3% 7.6% 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 5.5% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9%
Beck Lorsch 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.1% 10.8% 17.0% 30.0%
Gavin VanManen 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.8% 10.1% 12.0% 11.4% 12.8%
Clark Morris 5.4% 6.1% 6.0% 7.2% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.2% 6.4% 7.4% 8.0% 6.7% 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 2.2%
Jack Roman 7.8% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Laura Hamilton 10.6% 8.6% 9.7% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 7.9% 8.0% 6.8% 6.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Connor Macken 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9%
Luke Hosek 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.0% 4.3% 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.8% 9.8% 8.6% 5.9%
Reid Nelson 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 6.5% 8.5% 10.8% 17.8% 18.8%
Julian Henderson 1.9% 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 7.3% 5.2% 8.5% 11.5% 15.8% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.