Race 7A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bradley Whiteway 6.4% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 6.3% 3.9% 1.5%
Shea Smith 6.0% 7.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.1% 5.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.4% 6.3% 5.7% 4.0% 2.1%
Jack Roman 6.7% 8.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 6.9% 5.5% 6.7% 5.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2%
Ximena Escobar 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 5.9% 6.8% 5.1% 3.7% 1.3%
Gavin VanManen 3.8% 3.0% 3.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 8.6% 12.0% 13.0% 11.8%
Connor Macken 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 5.5% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4%
Laura Hamilton 9.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.1% 8.6% 6.2% 5.2% 6.2% 4.2% 3.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Reid Nelson 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 5.0% 6.7% 8.2% 12.1% 15.0% 19.1%
Cam Spriggs 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 7.0% 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Luke Hosek 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 4.8% 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 8.7% 5.7%
Clark Morris 6.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.6% 7.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 6.0% 6.0% 4.7% 1.6%
Gus Macaulay 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.4% 7.1% 8.1% 7.7% 5.5% 6.6% 5.5% 5.8% 3.8% 3.9% 0.9%
Mateo Farina 11.1% 9.3% 9.6% 9.3% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 6.6% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 4.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Julian Henderson 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.4% 7.0% 8.2% 10.8% 15.4% 20.0%
Beck Lorsch 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 9.3% 17.0% 31.9%
Nathan Sih 10.5% 10.3% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.4% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.8% 4.3% 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.