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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.39+3.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.42+4.81vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.65+3.24vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47-0.96vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.91-0.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+2.34vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.55+1.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.47-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.99-1.72vs Predicted
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11American University-3.36+4.55vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-7.72vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-3.75vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.57-5.69vs Predicted
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16Hampton University-0.35-2.76vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.42-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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6.81Old Dominion University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.24Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.34Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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15.55American University-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.31Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.24Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hendi | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Miedama | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 17.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 5.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Petter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 3.3% | 24.0% | 70.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 60.0% | 14.3% | 0.5% |
| Douglas Hamilton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 7.7% | 59.7% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.