Race 3B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cushman 8.1% 9.8% 8.8% 8.6% 11.8% 11.3% 11.7% 13.2% 10.7% 5.9%
Benjamin Stevens 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.1% 9.6% 9.7% 14.5% 19.8% 16.9%
Courtland Doyle 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 11.5% 11.1% 11.3% 12.8% 12.3% 6.7%
Max Sigel 7.0% 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 10.4% 11.1% 12.7% 12.1% 11.5% 6.1%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 19.2% 15.8% 15.1% 14.0% 11.9% 9.6% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Connor McHugh 11.6% 11.5% 12.3% 12.2% 11.3% 11.8% 10.2% 8.5% 7.5% 2.9%
Harrison Strom 16.3% 16.1% 14.8% 13.8% 11.2% 9.7% 9.2% 5.4% 3.1% 0.4%
James Brock 15.7% 14.0% 12.8% 12.5% 11.6% 10.7% 10.0% 6.9% 4.9% 1.0%
Emma Wang 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 11.1% 13.1% 12.8% 11.9% 8.5%
Langdon Wallace 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 8.9% 15.8% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.