← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.90+5.20vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.62+8.73vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.74+3.93vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.85+2.53vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.51+1.84vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.60+0.11vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.37-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.49-0.94vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.42-2.23vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.41+0.51vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.40-0.33vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.01-3.40vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.59-6.67vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-6.98vs Predicted
-
16Yale University0.07-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Yale University1.9011.6%1st Place
-
10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.622.5%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University1.748.0%1st Place
-
6.53Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
-
6.4Yale University2.189.6%1st Place
-
7.84Tufts University1.516.6%1st Place
-
7.11Roger Williams University1.608.8%1st Place
-
7.86Yale University1.376.2%1st Place
-
8.06Northwestern University1.496.7%1st Place
-
7.77Brown University1.426.9%1st Place
-
11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.412.6%1st Place
-
11.67Roger Williams University0.402.5%1st Place
-
9.6Roger Williams University1.014.2%1st Place
-
7.33Tufts University1.597.8%1st Place
-
8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.7%1st Place
-
12.46Yale University0.071.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gavin VanManen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Clark Morris | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Jack Roman | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Shea Smith | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Julian Henderson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| Reid Nelson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Gus Macaulay | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.