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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.42+5.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.39+2.19vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.65+3.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+0.06vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-0.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+2.33vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+2.17vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.32vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.47-3.17vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.57-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.99-3.80vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.55-3.57vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.35-1.80vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.42-0.99vs Predicted
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17American University-3.36-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Old Dominion University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Naval Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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6.23Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.33Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.2Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.420.0%1st Place
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15.64American University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Miedama | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hendi | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 10.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 60.3% | 11.0% | 0.9% |
| Douglas Hamilton | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 6.4% | 61.1% | 28.4% |
| Alexis Petter | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 25.9% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.