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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.65+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.39+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+2.22vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.91+1.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.42+1.96vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.78vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.55+2.44vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-4.03vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.47-2.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.99-2.87vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-1.78vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.57-3.59vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.35-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.42-1.00vs Predicted
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17American University-3.36-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Virginia1.990.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.41Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.19Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.420.0%1st Place
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15.65American University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ricker | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hendi | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Miedama | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 6.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 19.5% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 10.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 57.8% | 11.1% | 0.9% |
| Douglas Hamilton | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 61.1% | 28.4% |
| Alexis Petter | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 26.0% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.