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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Jay 7.4% 9.2% 9.4% 11.2% 11.7% 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 9.3% 7.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Hank Seum 21.7% 19.0% 16.1% 13.6% 12.2% 8.1% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Morin 7.1% 9.7% 9.5% 10.8% 10.2% 10.9% 12.0% 10.6% 10.3% 6.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Kay Brunsvold 23.2% 20.4% 18.0% 13.3% 9.7% 7.2% 4.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 9.8% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 11.5% 12.3% 11.5% 9.2% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Liebel 8.9% 8.5% 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 8.6% 6.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Hudson Jenkins 8.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.9% 10.5% 11.3% 12.8% 11.8% 10.4% 7.0% 3.1% 0.4%
Julia Scott 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.7% 10.0% 11.6% 14.6% 14.8% 8.4% 2.1%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.1% 6.0% 7.7% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 11.7% 13.2% 12.4% 9.8% 4.8% 0.9%
Carter Speh 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.5% 6.9% 15.2% 37.3% 22.1%
Olivia Figley 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 6.3% 16.9% 66.8%
William Mullray 1.9% 1.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 13.6% 22.4% 22.2% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.