Race 10B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Connor Hendi 18.2% 16.6% 14.0% 12.8% 10.4% 8.2% 6.6% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 19.2% 15.9% 15.3% 12.0% 10.8% 8.3% 6.8% 4.8% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph David 10.6% 9.6% 10.0% 10.8% 10.3% 11.1% 9.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.9% 3.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 5.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 7.5% 9.9% 8.4% 7.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 2.5% 2.0% 3.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 10.2% 11.1% 14.7% 14.5% 7.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Dan Ricker 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.3% 3.5% 4.2% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 9.4% 16.5% 21.3% 10.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 12.3% 12.3% 11.4% 11.1% 11.0% 9.3% 8.3% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Miedama 6.6% 6.1% 7.2% 5.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.7% 11.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Patterson 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 7.6% 4.0% 5.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.5% 9.3% 12.7% 10.8% 8.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Thomas Greathouse 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.1% 8.0% 9.3% 12.1% 12.6% 16.5% 4.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard Ross 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 5.2% 7.3% 8.5% 11.7% 10.2% 14.1% 13.8% 6.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 3.6% 5.2% 11.7% 58.6% 11.3% 0.9%
Douglas Hamilton 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 6.7% 61.0% 28.4%
Alexis Petter 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 2.1% 25.9% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.