Race 3A

south-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kay Brunsvold 21.6% 19.9% 16.7% 12.9% 10.9% 7.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brendan Jay 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.7% 10.4% 11.4% 11.9% 9.4% 6.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Hank Seum 21.1% 18.5% 16.0% 14.3% 10.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 10.0% 11.0% 10.4% 12.0% 11.7% 11.5% 11.5% 9.6% 6.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Carter Morin 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.2% 12.4% 11.2% 9.2% 6.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 8.9% 9.0% 11.2% 10.4% 13.1% 13.2% 9.4% 4.9% 0.8%
Julia Scott 4.3% 4.7% 5.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.8% 9.5% 12.2% 16.9% 14.7% 8.5% 1.6%
Kaitlyn Liebel 9.3% 8.2% 8.9% 10.7% 10.8% 12.8% 10.7% 9.6% 9.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4%
William Mullray 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 10.7% 23.5% 22.4% 6.2%
Hudson Jenkins 8.0% 8.0% 9.9% 8.6% 10.8% 9.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.4%
Carter Speh 0.8% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 7.5% 14.8% 38.1% 21.0%
Olivia Figley 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 2.2% 5.7% 16.2% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.