Race 4A

south-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kay Brunsvold 23.6% 20.2% 17.2% 12.9% 10.3% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Hank Seum 20.1% 19.2% 16.2% 15.4% 10.4% 7.9% 5.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Carter Morin 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.7% 10.8% 12.1% 11.1% 10.9% 9.6% 6.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Josh Becher 10.6% 9.8% 12.3% 11.6% 12.4% 11.8% 10.7% 8.9% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Brendan Jay 8.0% 9.0% 9.1% 9.8% 12.1% 12.3% 11.7% 9.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 11.2% 14.5% 13.5% 9.6% 3.9% 0.7%
Hudson Jenkins 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 10.7% 12.4% 11.3% 11.9% 7.8% 2.9% 0.1%
Julia Scott 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 9.2% 10.2% 12.6% 14.8% 14.8% 8.7% 1.3%
William Mullray 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.7% 8.9% 11.1% 23.1% 23.9% 6.9%
Olivia Figley 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.6% 1.6% 3.5% 6.0% 15.6% 67.9%
Carter Speh 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 6.5% 16.0% 37.4% 22.2%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.4% 8.2% 9.6% 11.5% 12.2% 11.4% 10.8% 11.0% 9.3% 6.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.