Race 5A

south-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kay Brunsvold 23.1% 21.0% 16.3% 14.3% 10.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Jay 8.6% 8.9% 10.7% 9.5% 11.5% 13.0% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.2%
Josh Becher 10.1% 11.6% 11.6% 12.6% 11.5% 11.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Hudson Jenkins 7.2% 6.7% 7.7% 10.3% 10.2% 12.4% 11.0% 12.1% 11.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.7%
Carter Morin 7.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 12.0% 10.9% 11.8% 10.6% 9.5% 6.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Hank Seum 20.2% 19.1% 17.5% 14.1% 10.2% 8.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 8.6% 7.3% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 12.4% 11.9% 9.8% 6.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 10.0% 10.3% 11.9% 12.6% 13.0% 10.0% 4.3% 0.3%
Julia Scott 4.7% 4.2% 5.2% 5.5% 7.8% 8.2% 11.3% 12.2% 16.4% 14.8% 8.2% 1.7%
William Mullray 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 3.5% 6.2% 9.1% 11.9% 24.2% 22.4% 6.5%
Carter Speh 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 14.8% 38.4% 21.1%
Olivia Figley 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 5.3% 17.5% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.