Race 12B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sean Golden 18.4% 17.3% 16.8% 12.4% 10.6% 7.3% 6.1% 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Hendi 19.3% 14.5% 13.9% 13.0% 9.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Ross 3.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 5.8% 4.9% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 13.5% 13.7% 14.8% 6.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 10.2% 12.3% 11.2% 10.0% 11.9% 10.0% 10.0% 7.1% 6.9% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Siegel 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 7.2% 8.3% 11.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.3% 8.6% 5.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.8% 9.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 5.1% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Miedama 6.2% 8.7% 5.2% 8.1% 8.1% 9.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph David 11.6% 11.0% 9.8% 11.9% 11.0% 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 5.3% 4.9% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Patterson 3.3% 5.0% 6.0% 4.7% 6.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 10.7% 11.6% 9.6% 8.6% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Greathouse 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 3.0% 4.7% 6.3% 6.3% 8.7% 10.5% 12.7% 15.2% 14.1% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Keally 8.4% 6.4% 8.1% 7.9% 7.0% 7.9% 9.9% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 6.8% 4.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 3.4% 6.7% 6.8% 9.2% 10.2% 14.5% 21.4% 11.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 8.5% 9.9% 11.6% 14.7% 13.1% 7.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 6.7% 12.1% 58.0% 11.0% 0.9%
Douglas Hamilton 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 6.4% 61.2% 28.4%
Alexis Petter 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.9% 26.1% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.