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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+2.81vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+0.28vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-1.35+4.47vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.60+1.82vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17-0.27vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.51vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.23-3.00vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.73-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.33-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.60-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Jacksonville University0.7014.4%1st Place
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2.45Jacksonville University1.5836.0%1st Place
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3.28University of South Florida1.0720.0%1st Place
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8.47Rollins College-1.352.3%1st Place
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6.82Florida State University-0.604.5%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College-0.176.9%1st Place
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7.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.5%1st Place
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9.54Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
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6.0University of Miami-0.234.7%1st Place
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7.18University of Miami-0.733.4%1st Place
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10.36University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
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6.85University of South Florida-0.603.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 14.4% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 36.0% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 20.0% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 11.7% |
| Matthew Aguilera | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 24.4% | 25.9% |
| Brady Briggs | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Engel | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 47.8% |
| catherine brennan | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.