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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.73+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.23+2.92vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.07-1.75vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.58-3.58vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.60-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.60-1.14vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.41vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.57vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.35-2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.33-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Jacksonville University0.7014.6%1st Place
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7.1University of Miami-0.733.4%1st Place
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5.92University of Miami-0.236.1%1st Place
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5.67Eckerd College-0.175.6%1st Place
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3.25University of South Florida1.0720.8%1st Place
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2.42Jacksonville University1.5834.7%1st Place
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6.83Florida State University-0.603.9%1st Place
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6.86University of South Florida-0.603.7%1st Place
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7.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.993.1%1st Place
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9.43Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
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8.67Rollins College-1.351.9%1st Place
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10.35University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Engel | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Brady Briggs | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 20.8% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 34.7% | 26.4% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Aguilera | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| catherine brennan | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 24.8% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 12.5% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.