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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+1.59vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee0.80+5.06vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.77-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina1.40+1.53vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.09vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.27-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Florida0.34+1.52vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.63-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29-0.27vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-3.10vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.21-1.72vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.70-1.59vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-0.45-3.37vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.35-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Eckerd College3.240.3%1st Place
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3.12Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
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8.06University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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3.37University of South Florida2.770.2%1st Place
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6.53University of North Carolina1.400.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
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8.61Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.28Duke University-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.41North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.35The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 30.7% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 22.1% | 22.9% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ervin Grove | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Bryan White | 19.8% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mellnik | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rheanna King | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Lily Everson | 2.0% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Eduardo Leal | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 32.3% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| Ben Brightwell | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.