Race 4B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Courtland Doyle 7.8% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 10.0% 11.8% 11.6% 12.8% 12.0% 6.0%
Max Sigel 8.9% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.9% 10.1% 12.3% 12.6% 11.3% 7.0%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 19.4% 18.3% 15.2% 13.5% 10.9% 8.5% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Connor McHugh 11.5% 9.8% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 10.9% 11.6% 8.7% 9.2% 3.2%
Harrison Strom 16.7% 16.0% 16.0% 13.7% 10.9% 10.3% 7.5% 5.6% 2.6% 0.7%
James Brock 13.0% 13.8% 12.3% 13.6% 11.9% 12.3% 9.6% 7.6% 4.2% 1.7%
Emma Wang 8.5% 7.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.1% 11.9% 13.1% 12.2% 7.3%
Benjamin Stevens 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 6.8% 10.0% 10.2% 14.2% 20.5% 16.2%
Christian Cushman 7.5% 9.5% 8.7% 9.7% 10.9% 11.0% 12.6% 12.8% 11.6% 5.8%
Langdon Wallace 1.5% 2.5% 3.4% 2.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 14.3% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.