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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.07+2.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.23+3.22vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.70-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50-0.42vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.73+0.34vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.60-1.01vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.21vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.41vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.68-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.33-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of South Florida1.0719.7%1st Place
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2.56Jacksonville University1.5833.4%1st Place
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6.22University of Miami-0.235.1%1st Place
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3.96Jacksonville University0.7014.5%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida0.5010.5%1st Place
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5.77Eckerd College-0.175.2%1st Place
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7.34University of Miami-0.732.9%1st Place
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6.99Florida State University-0.602.9%1st Place
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7.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.5%1st Place
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9.59Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
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9.36Rollins College-1.681.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 19.7% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 33.4% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Briggs | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Fiona Froelich | 14.5% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Engel | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Aguilera | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 24.9% | 23.1% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 25.5% | 18.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.