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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.77+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina1.40+3.37vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+4.63vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.89-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee0.80+1.17vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.63+0.74vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.21+2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Florida0.34-0.39vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-3.10vs Predicted
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13Rollins College1.27-6.00vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.35-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.45-4.35vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.70-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Eckerd College3.240.3%1st Place
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3.29University of South Florida2.770.2%1st Place
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6.37University of North Carolina1.400.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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9.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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3.17Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
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8.17University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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8.74Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.01Duke University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.0Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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11.59The Citadel-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.15North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 32.3% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 19.7% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mellnik | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Tony Collins | 20.3% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ervin Grove | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Eduardo Leal | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% |
| Rheanna King | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Lily Everson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Ian Nora | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Brightwell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 20.1% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.1% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.