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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.40vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.80vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.88+6.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-1.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-0.29vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-3.96vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-3.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.91-8.39vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-5.17vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Harvard University3.0510.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.4%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.4%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.4210.5%1st Place
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14.12Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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7.04Yale University2.929.4%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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11.83Boston University1.392.7%1st Place
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13.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.919.8%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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14.15University of Vermont0.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 27.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 22.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.